Atlanta @ Washington props

The #4 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Marcell Ozuna will be in a tough position today. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Marcell Ozuna's footspeed has decreased this season. His 26.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.15 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .413 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has had some very good luck given the .072 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

The #4 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley in today's game.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage in today's game. Drew Millas has put up a .361 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Utilizing Statcast data, Drew Millas grades out in the 98th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Gallo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Chris Sale will have the handedness advantage against Joey Gallo in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Sale's large platoon split. Joey Gallo has put up a .162 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Joey Gallo finds himself in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ozzie Albies has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .327 rate is inflated compared to his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .234 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .065 gap. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Jacob Young will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Jacob Young has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Jesse Winker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Sean Murphy has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .360 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392. Sean Murphy's 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season. Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.4% rate since the start of last season).

Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 stadium in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Michael Harris II's footspeed has decreased this year. His 28.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.01 ft/sec now. Michael Harris II and his 5.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. When it comes to plate discipline, Michael Harris II's ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.81 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 20th percentile.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Orlando Arcia has had some very poor luck this year with his .269 actual wOBA.

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Adam Duvall's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 89th percentile at 95.1 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Adam Duvall ranks in the 100th percentile with a 28.2° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Nick Senzel will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

J.P. Martinez has not yet played a game this season.