Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for righty base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will not have the upper hand in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for righty base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.

Harold Ramirez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for righty base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Harold Ramirez's 4.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 16th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Harold Ramirez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 13th percentile at 89.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for righty base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Baltimore's #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. This year, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.15 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for righty base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today. Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive skill to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 deviation between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.

The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cole Irvin. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Lowe's 95.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Brandon Lowe and his 17.7% rank in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Tropicana Field.

Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Jose Siri will have an advantage today. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance this year. His .188 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .183.

Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 93rd percentile. With a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Caballero is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst on the slate). Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Gunnar Henderson has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .396 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game. Sporting a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan O'Hearn grades out in the 79th percentile.

Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had bad variance on his side given the .072 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Alex Jackson will have an edge today. Alex Jackson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in MLB since the start of last season: 76th percentile. Anthony Santander's 20.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 95th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. Adley Rutschman has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .346 wOBA in the last 14 days. Adley Rutschman has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .346 figure is inflated compared to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Colton Cowser has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ramon Urias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Ramon Urias has notched a .334 BABIP since the start of last season.