San Francisco @ Arizona Picks & Props

Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thairo Estrada in today's game. Thairo Estrada's 4.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Hicks throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Heliot Ramos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .063 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 94th percentile.

Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. This season, there has been a decline in Corbin Carroll's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.05 ft/sec last year to 29.29 ft/sec currently. Corbin Carroll has been cold recently, limping his way to a .255 wOBA over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 8th percentile, Corbin Carroll has notched a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tucker Barnhart will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Tucker Barnhart's speed has increased this year. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage today. Kevin Newman has posted a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.428) implies that Michael Conforto has suffered from bad luck this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Curt Casali will have the upper hand today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's game.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tyler Fitzgerald is quite fast, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Wilmer Flores will have the upper hand today. Wilmer Flores has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .048 discrepancy. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Patrick Bailey has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Luis Matos will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Casey Schmitt has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 mark is quite a bit lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Pavin Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game. Pavin Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.