New York @ Washington Picks & Props
NYM vs WAS Picks
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NYM vs WAS Consensus Picks
62% picking NY Mets
Total PicksNYM 428, WAS 264
NYM vs WAS Props
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jacob Young has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Brandon Nimmo has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 8.2° mark is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (23rd percentile).
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Starling Marte has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Tomas Nido Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tomas Nido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in Major League Baseball: 5th percentile.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game. Sporting a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Pete Alonso is positioned in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Nationals Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Francisco Lindor's speed has decreased this season. His 28.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.68 ft/sec now. Posting a .256 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor has performed in the 22nd percentile.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin today. Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 95th percentile.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Luis Torrens will have an edge in today's matchup. Luis Torrens has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Sporting a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Torrens is ranked in the 80th percentile. Luis Torrens's 22.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 97th percentile.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington
Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lane Thomas has had bad variance on his side given the .052 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. CJ Abrams's 87.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the league since the start of last season: 18th percentile. CJ Abrams is in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (39.9% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of CJ Abrams's launch angle since the start of last season (29.9°) is in the 13th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play. With a 3.61 K/BB rate this year, CJ Abrams has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge in today's game. Harrison Bader has notched a .334 BABIP this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ildemaro Vargas grades out in the 75th percentile.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Nick Senzel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Washington
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Joey Gallo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Joey Gallo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck given the .048 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 85th percentile with a 17.8° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB. Tyrone Taylor is remarkably fast, ranking in the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.69 ft/sec this year.
NYM vs WAS Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+5.25 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 54 games (-15.65 Units / -25% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 26 away games (-13.40 Units / -48% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 56 games (-12.75 Units / -21% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 23 games at home (-6.35 Units / -24% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 22 games at home (-5.30 Units / -21% ROI)
NYM vs WAS Top User Picks
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||