St. Louis @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his better side against Ranger Suarez today. Dylan Carlson has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Dylan Carlson and his 18.6% rank in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Fermin is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Fermin will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Alec Burleson has posted a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alec Burleson has compiled a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today. Johan Rojas's footspeed has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.86 ft/sec now.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. By putting up a .339 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masyn Winn grades out in the 76th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. Sonny Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has had some very good luck given the .046 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably athletic, grading out in the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Castellanos has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.05 ft/sec to 27.5 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. Pedro Pages will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.