Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in baseball. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split.

The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 15th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (85th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Colton Cowser will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell in today's matchup... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Romy Gonzalez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today.

Cooper Criswell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split. Ryan Mountcastle has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 24th percentile with a 3.62 K/BB rate.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. Cooper Criswell will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Westburg today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg's true offensive skill to be a .322, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .040 difference between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Cooper Criswell... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Criswell's huge platoon split.

Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Rob Refsnyder's true offensive talent to be a .323, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .081 deviation between that figure and his actual .404 wOBA.

The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell in today's matchup... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team playing today.

The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team playing today. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for hitters. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team playing today.

The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Cedric Mullins II will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.

Vaughn Grissom's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vaughn Grissom has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Cooper is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Garrett Cooper will have the handedness advantage against Cole Irvin today.

David Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.