San Francisco @ New York props

The #1 field in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 36%. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will have a tough time against Jordan Hicks and his large platoon split in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor's quickness has declined this year. His 28.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.51 ft/sec now.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge in today's game. Brett Wisely hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Brett Wisely has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .219 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Heliot Ramos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Luis Matos is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Hicks in today's matchup... and moreover, Hicks has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Mike Yastrzemski is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Brett Baty will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Thairo Estrada's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Since the start of last season, Marco Luciano has an average exit velocity of 93 mph, which ranks among the best in Major League Baseball at the 96th percentile.

J.D. Martinez's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, D.J. Stewart will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. D.J. Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) suggests that Jorge Soler has experienced some negative variance this year with his .215 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Considering Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Omar Narvaez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Omar Narvaez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Omar Narvaez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In notching a .281 batting average this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Starling Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has been unlucky this year. His .301 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .440.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 95th percentile.