Texas @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonah Heim is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season). Jonah Heim has put up a .272 batting average this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Andrew Heaney throws from, Kyle Schwarber meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Marcus Semien encounters a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game. Placing in the 13th percentile, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.6 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage today. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has experienced some positive variance given the .072 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Based on Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran is in the 83rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Andrew Heaney will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Marsh in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Andrew Heaney throws from, Bryson Stott encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Using Statcast metrics, Leody Taveras is in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Edmundo Sosa pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.