CHC -107 o7.5
TB -102 u7.5
PHI -100 o8.5
BOS -108 u8.5
MIA +178 o8.5
NYM -196 u8.5
OAK +232 o8.5
MIN -259 u8.5
CHW +102 o7.0
SEA -110 u7.0
LAA +169 o8.5
AZ -186 u8.5
TEX +171 o8.5
LAD -188 u8.5
Final Jun 13
ATL 6 -100 o9.0
BAL 3 -108 u9.0
Final Jun 13
WAS 2 +139 o9.5
DET 7 -151 u9.5
Final Jun 13
NYY 3 -155 o10.5
KC 4 +142 u10.5
Final Jun 13
PIT 3 -116 o8.5
STL 4 +107 u8.5
SDPA, Bally Sports Network

San Diego @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+850
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+850
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+650
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+650
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

M. Ford
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+700
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+700
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jacob Hurtubise Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Hurtubise
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jacob Hurtubise has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jacob Hurtubise will have the upper hand in today's game. Jacob Hurtubise will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Hurtubise

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jacob Hurtubise has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jacob Hurtubise will have the upper hand in today's game. Jacob Hurtubise will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+290
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+290
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Ha-seong Kim will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year. His .212 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Ha-seong Kim will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year. His .212 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge today.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge today.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove today. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove today. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Joe Musgrove. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Joe Musgrove. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Jake Cronenworth has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Jake Cronenworth has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Fairchild
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.52
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+350
Under
-525
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.52
Best Odds
Over
+350
Under
-525

Stuart Fairchild has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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