San Diego @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Ford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jacob Hurtubise has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jacob Hurtubise will have the upper hand in today's game. Jacob Hurtubise will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Ha-seong Kim will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year. His .212 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge today.

Hitting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#2-best on the slate today).

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Musgrove today. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Joe Musgrove. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Jake Cronenworth has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Donovan Solano has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan India has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Stuart Fairchild has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.