Cincinnati @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) provides evidence that Jake Fraley has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jake Fraley ranks in the 79th percentile with a 16.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Gavin Lux has experienced some negative variance this year. His .235 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290.

Mike Ford is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Mike Ford will have an edge in today's game. Posting a .336 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Ford finds himself in the 77th percentile for offensive skills. Mike Ford's 17.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Jonathan India's 26.3° mark (81st percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile. When it comes to plate discipline, Jonathan India's talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 87th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Landon Knack. Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Compared to their .315 overall projected rate, the .301 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Cincinnati Reds projected offense today suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount a bit watered down. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Barnes (the Dodgers's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as a good pitch framer. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Austin Barnes will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Will Benson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Will Benson has experienced some positive variance this year. His .193 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .184.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Stuart Fairchild is notably fast, grading out in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year.

Santiago Espinal's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive talent to be a .290, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .054 gap between that mark and his actual .236 wOBA.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luke Maile has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 BA is considerably lower than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luke Maile has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 19.5° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (89th percentile).

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kike Hernandez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .263 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today. Jason Heyward's 15.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 76th percentile. By putting up a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jason Heyward finds himself in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Stephenson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler Stephenson grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.2% rate since the start of last season).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andy Pages is notably athletic, placing in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Mookie Betts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Conner Capel has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 5 games.