Chicago @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive skill to be a .339, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .086 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .248 figure is a fair amount higher than his .227 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Alex Jackson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Braden Shewmake will have an advantage today. Braden Shewmake will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's footspeed has declined this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.02 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5° mark is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (4th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Harold Ramirez will not have the upper hand today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) implies that Harold Ramirez has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .308 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Harold Ramirez's 4.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Chris Flexen today. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Richie Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Ramos has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Paul DeJong ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Eloy Jimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eloy Jimenez has suffered from bad luck given the .055 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327. Since the start of last season, Eloy Jimenez has an average exit velocity of 90.8 mph, which is among the best in baseball at the 79th percentile.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Benintendi's true offensive skill to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .097 gap between that figure and his actual .214 wOBA.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Chicago's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Isaac Paredes, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Tommy Pham has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .258 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .294. Since the start of last season, Tommy Pham has an average exit velocity of 92.3 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 94th percentile.

Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today. Ben Rortvedt has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .369 wOBA over the past 14 days. Ben Rortvedt has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

Nicky Lopez is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Nicky Lopez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Andrew Vaughn's speed has improved this year. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.34 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Vaughn's true offensive skill to be a .316, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .101 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .215 wOBA. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Andrew Vaughn has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB since the start of last season (90.6-mph).

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.