Miami @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
MIA vs LAD Picks
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MIA vs LAD Consensus Picks
82% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksMIA 174, LAD 790
72% picking Miami vs LA Dodgers to go Over
Total PicksMIA 420, LAD 164
MIA vs LAD Props
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. When it comes to his batting average, Tim Anderson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.378) may lead us to conclude that Jake Burger has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .341 actual wOBA. Jake Burger's 16.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Extreme flyball hitters like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today. Andy Pages has been hot of late, cruising to a .378 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Miami
Christian Bethancourt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Mookie Betts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Edward Cabrera who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Gordon has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .193 BA is a fair amount lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the league. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) in charge of the strike zone in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's matchup.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 13th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate this year. His .259 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .228. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .212 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has had bad variance on his side given the .096 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of his batting average, Bryan De La Cruz has been lucky this year. His .264 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234. The standard deviation of Bryan De La Cruz's launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 86th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.259) suggests that Nick Fortes has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .236 actual wOBA.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320. Placing in the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Josh Bell has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Hitters such as Max Muncy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Edward Cabrera who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) provides evidence that Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .249 actual batting average. By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jesus Sanchez is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive ability.
MIA vs LAD Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 away games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 82 games (-27.70 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 away games (-18.75 Units / -25% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 72 of their last 128 games (+16.60 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 124 games (-26.45 Units / -19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games at home (-15.10 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 57 games at home (-11.76 Units / -16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 15 games at home (-9.30 Units / -52% ROI)
MIA vs LAD Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||