Miami @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
MIA vs LAD Picks
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MIA vs LAD Consensus Picks
80% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksMIA 189, LAD 752
71% picking Miami vs LA Dodgers to go Over
Total PicksMIA 424, LAD 175
MIA vs LAD Props
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The Miami Marlins have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for home runs. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Despite posting a .436 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck given the .040 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .396.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Josh Bell has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 deviation. Josh Bell's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 114 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's game.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Kyle Tyler will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Lux in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage today.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .377. Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very fast.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.226) suggests that Teoscar Hernandez has had some very good luck this year with his .252 actual batting average. Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
When estimating his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) suggests that Tim Anderson has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .240 actual batting average.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Nick Fortes has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 rate is considerably lower than his .259 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Walker Buehler.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Bryan De La Cruz has been lucky this year with his .264 actual batting average. The standard deviation of Bryan De La Cruz's launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 86th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nick Gordon will have an edge today. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Nick Gordon has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .191 mark is a good deal lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Kyle Tyler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Muncy in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Max Muncy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Kyle Tyler will hold the platoon advantage against James Outman in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. James Outman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has had bad variance on his side this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. James Outman has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (90th percentile).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Tyler throws from, Freddie Freeman meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.294) provides evidence that Emmanuel Rivera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average. Emmanuel Rivera is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) may lead us to conclude that Jesus Sanchez has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .246 actual batting average. Using Statcast metrics, Jesus Sanchez grades out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
Jake Burger has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Miguel Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs LAD Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 away games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 82 games (-27.70 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 away games (-18.85 Units / -25% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 74 of their last 131 games (+17.40 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 124 games (-26.45 Units / -19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games at home (-15.10 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 57 games at home (-11.76 Units / -16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 15 games at home (-9.30 Units / -52% ROI)
MIA vs LAD Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||