Chicago @ St. Louis Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Tommy Pham will not have the upper hand in today's game. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.294) may lead us to conclude that Tommy Pham has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .260 actual batting average.

Martin Maldonado will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Dylan Carlson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nolan Arenado ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Fermin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today's game. With a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Fermin has performed in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today. Ivan Herrera's speed has improved this year. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.51 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.386) provides evidence that Ivan Herrera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .306 actual wOBA.

Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) implies that Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Andrew Vaughn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have a tough challenge today. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Andrew Vaughn's quickness has gotten better this year. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.37 ft/sec now.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nicky Lopez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. The #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium. Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Today, Nicky Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42.9% rate (99th percentile).

Braden Shewmake may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Despite posting a .223 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andrew Benintendi has suffered from bad luck given the .090 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Andrew Benintendi and his 19.8% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lars Nootbaar's true offensive ability to be a .334, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .096 difference between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Kyle Gibson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eloy Jimenez in today's matchup. Eloy Jimenez's 90.8-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in baseball since the start of last season: 79th percentile. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Eloy Jimenez sports a .268 batting average since the start of last season.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Gavin Sheets hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Korey Lee will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Chicago's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. Nolan Gorman has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .058 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today. Brendan Donovan has notched a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Robbie Grossman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Kyle Gibson today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Robbie Grossman ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB. Posting a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Robbie Grossman has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Paul DeJong will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Paul DeJong's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 84th percentile.