Baltimore @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage today. Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB. Anthony Santander has recorded a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Jonathan India will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have an advantage today. Stuart Fairchild will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year, Stuart Fairchild is notably toolsy.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley has posted a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jake Fraley's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 79th percentile.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Irvin. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario is in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's game. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Jordan Westburg has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .376 wOBA over the past 7 days. Jordan Westburg has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Ryan Mountcastle's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.2 ft/sec last year to 27.42 ft/sec currently.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game. Elly De La Cruz's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) has been 119.2 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. Looking at the top 5% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls by exit velocity, their 109.2 mph average places him among the league's elite, ranking in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Heston Kjerstad and his 35% rank in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. The standard deviation of Heston Kjerstad's launch angle since the start of last season (15.4°) is in the 98th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. In the past 14 days, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .417. In notching a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is positioned in the 77th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Over the last 14 days, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .352. Adley Rutschman has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .352 figure is a fair amount higher than his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Ramon Urias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Ramon Urias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Greene who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Greene today. Ryan O'Hearn has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .393 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Bubba Thompson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bubba Thompson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 79%. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.