Globe Life Field
Nick Senzel has not yet played a game this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corey Seager as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Corey Seager is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game considering none of the available options for the Washington Nationals share his handedness. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive ability to be a .369, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .085 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .284 wOBA.
Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jon Gray... and even better, Gray has a large platoon split. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season). Keibert Ruiz has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Gray has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 23.52 ft/sec to 26.09 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .260 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .300. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras has performed in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Joey Meneses has put up a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.
Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Using Statcast metrics, Jacob Young ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .285. Sporting a .285 batting average since the start of last season, Jacob Young is ranked in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Wyatt Langford will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Wyatt Langford is notably toolsy, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.52 ft/sec this year.
Considering Jon Gray's large platoon split, Eddie Rosario will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Eddie Rosario is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eddie Rosario has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .300 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316. Eddie Rosario has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.6° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (96th percentile).
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Davis Wendzel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Davis Wendzel will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Globe Life Field projects as the #27 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Globe Life Field. When it comes to his batting average, Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .272 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247. Marcus Semien's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 108.6 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile. Hitting the ball to all fields is an important skill for batting average that Marcus Semien has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 12th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.
Globe Life Field ranks as the #27 stadium in the majors for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Globe Life Field. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Luis Garcia ranks in just the 5th percentile with a 4.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.
Globe Life Field ranks as the #27 stadium in the majors for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams today. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .416 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .104 discrepancy. Ranked in the 18th percentile, CJ Abrams's average exit velocity of 87.3 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.
Trey Lipscomb has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Josh Smith is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Josh Smith is in the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Josh Smith grades out in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.1% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .264 BA is considerably lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Adolis Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 87th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .356.
Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against MacKenzie Gore in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Jonah Heim and his 18.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.
Evan Carter has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
