Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity on the schedule today at 40%. In the past two weeks, Alec Bohm has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Alec Bohm has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time over the last 14 days.

Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity on the schedule today at 40%. Marco Gonzales will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Henry Davis ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Henry Davis has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph figure.

Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity on the schedule today at 40%. Trea Turner has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Trea Turner has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today. Brandon Marsh has been hot of late, notching a a 100% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the last 14 days. Compiling a 103.9-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days, Brandon Marsh has been in great form recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Connor Joe has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 37.5% on the season to 75% over the past 14 days. Connor Joe has been hot in recent games, tallying a .398 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Jared Triolo's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Turnbull throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.

Alika Williams has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Edward Olivares pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Edward Olivares has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Marco Gonzales today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today. Notching a 97.9-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days, J.T. Realmuto has been in great form in recent games.

Oneil Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Turnbull throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Oneil Cruz has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.5°, Oneil Cruz has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.5° mark over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Marco Gonzales today. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Marco Gonzales throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Spencer Turnbull in today's matchup. Bryan Reynolds has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Marco Gonzales throws from, Whit Merrifield will have an advantage in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The standard deviation of Bryson Stott's launch angle has been very consistent lately (28.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Turnbull throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Kyle Schwarber's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 108.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Marco Gonzales throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an advantage today. Edmundo Sosa pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Joey Bart has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Andrew McCutchen has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Cristian Pache has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.