St. Louis @ Arizona Picks & Props
STL vs AZ Picks
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STL vs AZ Consensus Picks
STL vs AZ Props
Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.
Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 102.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last two weeks, Brendan Donovan has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. An inconsistent launch angle is usually a proxy for bad hitting skills, and Brendan Donovan has been very inconsistent with his lately, notching a 0° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Gibson Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%. Ketel Marte has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has notched a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Corbin Carroll's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (3° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal mark. Corbin Carroll has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last two weeks.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.
Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Victor Scott will have an advantage today. Victor Scott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 33.3% on the season to 100% in the past two weeks.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. faces a tough challenge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 0%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 99.8-mph dropping to 92.3-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.3%.
Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today. Gabriel Moreno has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jace Peterson will have an edge in today's game. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Nolan Arenado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (50° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 40.7° seasonal mark.
Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. In the last 14 days, Jordan Walker's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 25%.
STL vs AZ Trends
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 away games (+9.10 Units / 23% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 72 away games (-19.25 Units / -23% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 111 games (-13.50 Units / -11% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 150 games (-13.50 Units / -7% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 72 away games (-12.36 Units / -14% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 145 games (+13.60 Units / 9% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 145 games (-27.60 Units / -17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 78 of their last 166 games (-23.42 Units / -12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 164 games (-21.80 Units / -11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 96 games (-10.01 Units / -9% ROI)
STL vs AZ Top User Picks
St. Louis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
| 2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
| 3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
| 4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
| 5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
| 6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
| 7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
| 8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
| 10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||