Final May 22
TEX 0 +132 o7.0
NYY 1 -144 u7.0
Final (11) May 22
SD 6 -114 o8.5
TOR 7 +105 u8.5
Final May 22
PHI 2 -269 o11.0
COL 0 +240 u11.0
Final May 22
LAA 10 +121 o10.0
ATH 5 -132 u10.0
Final May 22
CLE 7 +113 o8.0
DET 0 -122 u8.0
Final May 22
MIL 8 -113 o9.0
PIT 5 +105 u9.0
Final (10) May 22
ATL 7 -149 o8.5
WAS 8 +137 u8.5
Final May 22
SEA 2 -123 o8.0
HOU 9 +114 u8.0
AT&T Sportsnet, NESN

Houston @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

Adam Duvall
A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adam Duvall has had some very good luck given the .069 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322. As it relates to plate discipline, Adam Duvall's ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.99 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 19th percentile.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adam Duvall has had some very good luck given the .069 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322. As it relates to plate discipline, Adam Duvall's ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.99 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 19th percentile.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today. Extreme groundball bats like Alex Bregman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .265 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today. Extreme groundball bats like Alex Bregman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .265 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

Triston Casas
T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

Martin Maldonado
M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

Justin Turner
J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Justin Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .367 figure is a fair amount higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Justin Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .367 figure is a fair amount higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.

Michael Brantley Total Hits Props • Houston

Michael Brantley
M. Brantley
designated hitter DH • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Brantley is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Michael Brantley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ranking in the 11th percentile, the hardest ball Michael Brantley has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Michael Brantley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael Brantley is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Michael Brantley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ranking in the 11th percentile, the hardest ball Michael Brantley has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

Jeremy Pena
J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

Chas McCormick
C. McCormick
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chas McCormick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chas McCormick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Boston

Luis Urias
L. Urias
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Luis Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Jonathan Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston

Jonathan Singleton
J. Singleton
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jon Singleton is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Jonathan Singleton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jon Singleton is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast