Houston @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today. Extreme groundball bats like Alex Bregman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .265 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adam Duvall has had some very good luck given the .069 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322. As it relates to plate discipline, Adam Duvall's ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.99 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 19th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Justin Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .367 figure is a fair amount higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Verdugo's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game.

Michael Brantley is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Michael Brantley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ranking in the 11th percentile, the hardest ball Michael Brantley has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chas McCormick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Luis Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jon Singleton is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Jake Meyers has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.