Los Angeles @ New York props

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The New York Mets have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games Jeremie Rehak grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst park in the league for batting average.

Citi Field profiles as the #30 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.5-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Luis Rengifo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Rengifo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Logan O'Hoppe has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days. Logan O'Hoppe's launch angle lately (33.3° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 19.2° seasonal mark.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Randal Grichuk has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week. Randal Grichuk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hunter Renfroe has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval today... and moreover, Sandoval has a large platoon split.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game. D.J. Stewart has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 17.8% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonathan Arauz pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Jonathan Arauz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jonathan Arauz has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .182 mark is deflated compared to his .236 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Danny Mendick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Danny Mendick will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.