LIVE Top 9th May 14
MIN 4 +114 o8.5
BAL 3 -124 u8.5
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STL 1 +161 o8.5
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MIL 5 +114 o8.0
CLE 2 -123 u8.0
MIN +112 o9.0
BAL -124 u9.0
AZ -107 o8.0
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STL +126 o8.0
PHI -137 u8.0
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PIT +252 o8.0
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TEX -208 u9.0
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LAA +164 o9.0
SD -179 u9.0
ATH +243 o8.5
LAD -272 u8.5
MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Texas @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Donovan Solano
D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Donovan Solano has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. In the past week, Donovan Solano's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Donovan Solano has been lucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .015 deviation.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Donovan Solano has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 52% of the time. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. In the past week, Donovan Solano's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Donovan Solano has been lucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .015 deviation.

Travis Jankowski Total Hits Props • Texas

Travis Jankowski
T. Jankowski
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Travis Jankowski has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Travis Jankowski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Travis Jankowski has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Christian Vazquez
C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 7 days, Christian Vazquez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph recently.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 7 days, Christian Vazquez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph recently.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Despite posting a .445 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .403.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Despite posting a .445 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .403.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

Mitch Garver
M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Jordan Luplow
J. Luplow
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Luplow will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jordan Luplow

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Luplow will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days. Max Kepler has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days. Max Kepler has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Michael A. Taylor
M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kyle Farmer
K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Kyle Farmer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph EV.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Kyle Farmer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph EV.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

Leody Taveras
L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today. Leody Taveras has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 87°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today. Leody Taveras has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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