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DET vs CLE Props
Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Among all parks, Progressive Field's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88-mph average.
Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit
Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 89-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 77.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. There has been a significant decline in Matt Vierling's launch angle from last season's 12° to 7.4° this year. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%. Matt Vierling has notched a .307 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Oscar Gonzalez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and and will be challenged by MLB's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Oscar Gonzalez's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.3 mph to 89.1 mph. In the last 14 days, Oscar Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 89.1 mph to 86.4 mph. Last season, Oscar Gonzalez had a launch angle of 8.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 5°. When it comes to plate discipline, Oscar Gonzalez's ability is quite bad, posting a 5.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 6th percentile.
Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.7-mph in the last 14 days. This year, Steven Kwan's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 0th percentile at 85.2 mph.
Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez. Brayan Rocchio pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today. Brayan Rocchio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.
Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all parks, Progressive Field's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.
Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today.
Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit
When estimating his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Riley Greene has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Riley Greene has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game.
Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Javier Baez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Javier Baez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 95.9-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit
Jake Rogers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jake Rogers will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and moreover, Allen has a large platoon split. Over the past two weeks, Jake Rogers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph lately.
Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all parks, Progressive Field's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kerry Carpenter has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph average. In the past week, Kerry Carpenter's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.
Zack Collins Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Among all parks, Progressive Field's right field dimensions are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team today. Zack Collins is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Detroit (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Zack Collins will hold that advantage today.
Miguel Cabrera Total Hits Props • Detroit
Miguel Cabrera is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Miguel Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and moreover, Allen has a large platoon split. Miguel Cabrera has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Miguel Cabrera has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.
Zack Short Total Hits Props • Detroit
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Zack Short will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Zack Short's 21.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 94th percentile.
Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Andy Ibanez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Andy Ibanez ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.1% rate this year). Ranking in the 91st percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Andy Ibanez demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core talent for achieving a high batting average.
Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit
Zach McKinstry has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Will Brennan has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Kole Calhoun has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
DET vs CLE Trends
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 away games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 away games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 61 away games (+8.85 Units / 13% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.54 Units / 20% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 123 games (-13.95 Units / -10% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 52 away games (-12.45 Units / -20% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 57 away games (-11.45 Units / -18% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 81 games (-9.40 Units / -9% ROI)
Cleveland Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.93 Units / 45% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+8.88 Units / 15% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 117 games (-25.40 Units / -18% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 53 games at home (-16.25 Units / -26% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 61 games at home (-12.55 Units / -15% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.50 Units / -100% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (-2.20 Units / -24% ROI)
DET vs CLE Top User Picks
Detroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
Cleveland Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||