Final May 16
CHW 3 +191 o11.0
CHC 13 -211 u11.0
Final May 16
CLE 4 -115 o9.5
CIN 5 +106 u9.5
Final May 16
PIT 4 +200 o9.0
PHI 8 -221 u9.0
Final May 16
WAS 4 +108 o9.0
BAL 3 -117 u9.0
Final May 16
NYM 2 +132 o9.0
NYY 6 -143 u9.0
Final May 16
DET 5 -110 o9.0
TOR 4 +102 u9.0
Final May 16
TB 4 -121 o8.5
MIA 9 +112 u8.5
Final May 16
ATL 4 +100 o8.0
BOS 2 -108 u8.0
Final May 16
STL 10 +131 o8.5
KC 3 -143 u8.5
Final May 16
HOU 6 +170 o8.5
TEX 3 -186 u8.5
Final May 16
MIN 3 -110 o7.5
MIL 0 +101 u7.5
Final May 16
SEA 5 +155 o8.5
SD 1 -170 u8.5
Final May 16
COL 0 +300 o9.0
AZ 8 -343 u9.0
Final May 16
LAA 6 +261 o9.5
LAD 2 -294 u9.5
Final May 16
ATH 1 +178 o7.0
SF 9 -196 u7.0
ATTP, SNY

Pittsburgh @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the best among every team playing today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 11.5%. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .303 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the best among every team playing today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 11.5%. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .303 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Liover Peguero
L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 5.6%. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 5.6%. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alika Williams
A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle over the past week.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle over the past week.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Connor Joe
C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.8°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Connor Joe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.8°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year.

Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Endy Rodriguez
E. Rodriguez
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Endy Rodriguez has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Endy Rodriguez has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.7-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Endy Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Endy Rodriguez has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Endy Rodriguez has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.7-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Daniel Vogelbach
D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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