Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props
PIT vs NYM Picks
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PIT vs NYM Consensus Picks
60% picking Pittsburgh vs NY Mets to go Over
Total PicksPIT 38, NYM 25
60% picking Pittsburgh vs NY Mets to go Over
Total PicksPIT 57, NYM 38
PIT vs NYM Props
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the best among every team playing today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 11.5%. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .303 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle over the past week.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 5.6%. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Connor Joe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.8°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year.
Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Endy Rodriguez has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Endy Rodriguez has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.7-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup.
Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.
Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.
Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets
DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
PIT vs NYM Trends
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+7.34 Units / 33% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+13.85 Units / 12% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.49 Units / 51% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 110 games (-26.30 Units / -20% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 42 away games (-9.15 Units / -21% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 16 away games (-7.70 Units / -39% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 23 away games (-5.95 Units / -24% ROI)
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games at home (+5.15 Units / 11% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+8.03 Units / 19% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+4.30 Units / 10% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.80 Units / 24% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 36 games at home (-13.00 Units / -31% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.35 Units / -24% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (-0.80 Units / -16% ROI)
PIT vs NYM Top User Picks
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||