World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksLAD 90, SD 85
Total PicksLAD 184, SD 205
Total PicksLAD 218, SD 266
Total PicksLAD 106, SD 136
Total PicksLAD 41, SD 18
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Trent Grisham's launch angle recently (23.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 19.8° seasonal mark.
Jason Heyward is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game. Jason Heyward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 39% to 44.1%. Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jason Heyward grades out in the 79th percentile for hitting ability.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck this year. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a 1.7 K/BB rate this year, Xander Bogaerts has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.
James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. James Outman has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.8° mark is among the highest in the game this year (98th percentile). By putting up a .353 BABIP this year, James Outman grades out in the 93rd percentile.
The #6 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado's true offensive skill to be a .365, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .025 disparity between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Gary Sanchez's 12.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year. Checking in at the 79th percentile, the hardest ball Gary Sanchez has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability. Gary Sanchez has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.6° figure is among the highest in MLB this year (78th percentile).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 12th-best batter in baseball. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Mookie Betts has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past 14 days. Mookie Betts has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph figure.
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.
Chris Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Last season, Chris Taylor had an average launch angle of 19.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 27.4°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. David Peralta has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 47.2%.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Amed Rosario's launch angle this year (8.3°) is considerably higher than his 5° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) provides evidence that Amed Rosario has had bad variance on his side this year with his .295 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 97th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Amed Rosario demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core talent for achieving a high batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Miguel Rojas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph mark. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 18.7%. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 18.7% on the season to 36.7% over the last 14 days. Miguel Rojas has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .240 figure is quite a bit lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||