New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

In the last 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 94.2 mph to 91.8 mph. Ryan Mountcastle has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 10th percentile with a 4.78 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Austin Hays has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week. Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 18.8% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Hays has been lucky this year. His .284 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%. Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.5-mph over the past 7 days.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 87.9 mph to 84.2 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.7%. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 9.7% on the season to 4.7% in the last two weeks.

Starling Marte is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage against Starling Marte in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Starling Marte in today's game. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.3% to 11.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today.

Brett Baty's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 46% on the season to 52% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson. Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ramon Urias will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Jordan Westburg will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Ryan McKenna will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Ryan McKenna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. James McCann will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's game.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.