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Final May 1
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Final May 1
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Final May 1
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Final May 1
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MASN, MLBN, Sportsnet

Baltimore @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Grayson Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Grayson Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Out of all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Over the past 14 days, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.6-mph over the course of the season to 91-mph lately.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Over the past 14 days, Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.6-mph over the course of the season to 91-mph lately.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hays will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Austin Hays will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ramon Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.1% on the season to 70% over the past 7 days.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ramon Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.1% on the season to 70% over the past 7 days.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive skill to be a .337, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 gap between that figure and his actual .313 wOBA.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive skill to be a .337, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 gap between that figure and his actual .313 wOBA.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ryan McKenna Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. McKenna
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ryan McKenna will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Ryan McKenna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.8-mph EV.

Ryan McKenna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ryan McKenna will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Ryan McKenna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.8-mph EV.

Yusei Kikuchi Total Hits Props • Toronto

Y. Kikuchi
reliever RP • Toronto
Prop
4.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-155
Under
+105
Prop
4.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds
Over
-155
Under
+105

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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