Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Kyle Gibson will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Bo Bichette has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Kyle Gibson will hold the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Whit Merrifield has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph dropping to 82-mph over the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Extreme groundball bats like Brandon Belt usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 20.1%. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 19.9% on the season to 15.4% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Adam Frazier has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 94.4-mph in the last 7 days. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14.4% to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has been hot recently, notching a 93-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (18.7°) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° mark last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.7°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 48° angle over the last week.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. In the past two weeks, Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 42.4% on the season to 75% in the last week's worth of games.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7% rate last year to 12.9% this season. Cavan Biggio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck this year. His .263 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321. Jorge Mateo is remarkably fast, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.06 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. George Springer's launch angle recently (37° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 11.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ryan Mountcastle's 54.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week. Over the last 14 days, Alejandro Kirk's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Sporting a .331 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias grades out in the 82nd percentile.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.1% to 19.8%. Austin Hays has compiled a .357 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.