Los Angeles @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #26 venue in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Whit Merrifield has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days. Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.2-mph mark last season has fallen to 88.7-mph. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 45.3% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Rogers Centre projects as the #26 venue in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bo Bichette has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph dropping to 86-mph over the last 14 days.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 18.7° this year. Daulton Varsho has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .276 figure is quite a bit lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Velazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last week, Andrew Velazquez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.2% up to 20%. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Andrew Velazquez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.6° mark over the past 7 days. Andrew Velazquez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .198 mark is quite a bit lower than his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage today. Posting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 76th percentile. Sporting a .278 batting average this year, Kevin Kiermaier has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Trey Cabbage will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Trey Cabbage's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game. Trey Cabbage has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last 14 days.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst ballpark in baseball for BABIP. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest average fence height in the league.

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Luis Rengifo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Rengifo has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.6% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Luis Rengifo's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13.5°) is significantly higher than his 9.1° figure last year. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Luis Rengifo has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

Mike Moustakas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Mike Moustakas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph. In notching a .328 BABIP this year, Mike Moustakas finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Thaiss is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Thaiss's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, posting a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .026 discrepancy.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 10% on the season to 25% over the past week.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Danny Jansen's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 50%. Danny Jansen's launch angle lately (26.9° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 19.3° seasonal mark.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Belt has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Taylor Ward has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.