Milwaukee @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Matt Olson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .394 rate is considerably higher than his .376 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's game.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Colin Rea Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the last two weeks, Ozzie Albies's 17.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.5%. Sporting a .250 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

AJ Smith-Shawver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.5-mph average last season has decreased to 94.9-mph. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.2% to 11%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) provides evidence that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .349 actual wOBA.

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's matchup.

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

The #9 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Abraham Toro has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 9 games.