New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Grayson Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against DJ LeMahieu in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. DJ LeMahieu will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Westburg's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2% up to 33.3%. Jordan Westburg has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the past week. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 14% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Ryan Mountcastle has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage today.

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Bauers this year. His .327 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .380.

Adam Frazier's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's matchup. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Anthony Rizzo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96-mph over the past two weeks. Over the last 7 days, Giancarlo Stanton's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #5 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 16.1% to 20%. Grading out in the 94th percentile, Austin Hays has put up a .365 BABIP this year.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 92°. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Ben Rortvedt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Judge has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.