Pittsburgh @ San Diego props

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 83°. Johan Oviedo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 42.2% to 47.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.364) suggests that Bryan Reynolds has had some very poor luck this year with his .326 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. Andrew McCutchen has recorded a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 76th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 79th percentile, Andrew McCutchen sits with a .355 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Endy Rodriguez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Henry Davis is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Henry Davis hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Luis Campusano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Luis Campusano has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 29.8° launch angle standard deviation in the last week.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alfonso Rivas in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Alfonso Rivas will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Alfonso Rivas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ji-Man Choi has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Taylor Kohlwey has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 5 games.