Arizona @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Nelson... and even better, Nelson has a huge platoon split. Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and and will be challenged by the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 108.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luke Weaver in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Canzone has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Luke Weaver in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Alek Thomas has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Gabriel Moreno has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), grading out in the 91st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Geraldo Perdomo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Luke Weaver will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker in today's matchup. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Evan Longoria pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Maile has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.4% rate last season to 12.9% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Matt McLain has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side (0) today against Luke Weaver Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Kyle Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Fraley in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Nelson's huge platoon split. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Kyle Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Will Benson in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Nelson's huge platoon split. Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Will Benson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94.3-mph in the last two weeks.

The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Kyle Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Joey Votto in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Nelson's huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Votto will hold that advantage today.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.