New York @ Boston Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup.

Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Jeff McNeil in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. In the last week, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 82.2 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 10.4%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Carlos Carrasco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Yu Chang will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yu Chang has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Adam Duvall will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 30%.

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Brennan Bernardino today. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18.4%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Mark Vientos has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.