Arizona @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Tyler Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Fraley in today's game.

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's matchup. Hitters such as Gabriel Moreno with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Williamson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 108.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake McCarthy has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Tyler Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Will Benson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Will Benson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.

Brandon Williamson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll today. In the last 7 days, Corbin Carroll's 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%. This season, there has been a decline in Corbin Carroll's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.71 ft/sec last year to 30.11 ft/sec currently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive ability to be a .358, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .025 deviation between that mark and his actual .383 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 91.3 mph to 83.7 mph. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year. His .376 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Tyler Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Joey Votto in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joey Votto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Evan Longoria is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Evan Longoria will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Matt McLain has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's matchup. Nick Ahmed pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.