Milwaukee @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. In the past two weeks, Trea Turner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (9.2°) is significantly worse than his 13.2° mark last year.

The #6 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Cristopher Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich today. Typically, bats like Christian Yelich who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Typically, hitters like William Contreras who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 98.5-mph average last season has lowered to 96.2-mph.

The #6 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 13.9% to 10.2%. Over the last 14 days, Bryce Harper's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.2%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm grades out in the 81st percentile. Alec Bohm has compiled a .287 batting average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Joey Wiemer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Tyrone Taylor will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck this year. His .181 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .269.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is notably athletic, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.35 ft/sec this year.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Darick Hall will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Darick Hall stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Darick Hall will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Darick Hall has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.1% seasonal rate to 10% over the past 14 days.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Andruw Monasterio will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Brice Turang has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.