Houston @ Colorado Picks & Props

Corey Julks is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Corey Julks will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Over the last week, Corey Julks's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.6 mph to 86.5 mph.

Chas McCormick is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Chas McCormick will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chas McCormick's true offensive skill to be a .332, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .052 difference between that figure and his actual .384 wOBA.

Harold Castro is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup. Harold Castro has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Harold Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 18.1% to 11.5%. Harold Castro has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 BA is a good deal higher than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Brandon Bielak will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%. Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .315 rate is quite a bit higher than his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Jose Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16.2% to 13.1%. Jose Abreu has posted a .299 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Over the last week, Ryan McMahon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%. Ryan McMahon's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 73.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 17.4% on the season to 0% in the past week. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan McMahon has been very fortunate this year. His .347 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile with a 5.83 K/BB rate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alex Bregman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°. This year, the hardest ball Alex Bregman has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.2 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), grading out in the 6th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Brandon Bielak will hold the platoon advantage over Kris Bryant in today's game. Kris Bryant has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days. Kris Bryant's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the last 14 days, Kris Bryant's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Brandon Bielak Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88-mph average last season has fallen to 85.9-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jurickson Profar's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Brandon Bielak will hold the platoon advantage over Elias Diaz in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Elias Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. Elias Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .324 rate is quite a bit higher than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Martin Maldonado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Martin Maldonado's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 17.4° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Bielak today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

C.J. Cron has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.