Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field profiles as the #30 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Justin Verlander will hold the platoon advantage over Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tim Anderson in today's game. Tim Anderson's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 81-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.1-mph average last year has dropped off to 87.5-mph. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 74.4-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.7% to 21.1%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Touki Toussaint today. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Jake Burger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Touki Toussaint in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Brett Baty's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Touki Toussaint in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Luis Robert has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.9% rate last season to 15.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today. Starling Marte has been unlucky this year, notching a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .047 deviation.

Elvis Andrus hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Elvis Andrus has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .044 gap.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage against Touki Toussaint in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daniel Vogelbach has been unlucky given the .033 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Yasmani Grandal is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Yasmani Grandal hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Oscar Colas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. Oscar Colas has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. Oscar Colas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.5-mph over the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Oscar Colas's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Zach Remillard hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today. Gavin Sheets hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.1 mph compared to last year's 89.6 mph mark. Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Sheets has had some very poor luck given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

Luis Guillorme will hold the platoon advantage against Touki Toussaint today. Luis Guillorme has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Luis Guillorme will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luis Guillorme's launch angle this season (9.9°) is considerably better than his 4.3° figure last year.

Seby Zavala has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Mark Canha has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Eloy Jimenez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.