Arizona @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.377) may lead us to conclude that Matt Olson has had positive variance on his side this year with his .395 actual wOBA.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Ryne Nelson The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 21% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Ozzie Albies has put up a .256 BABIP this year, checking in at the 11th percentile.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions in MLB. Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Austin Riley today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team today. Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 15% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Alek Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Truist Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Carson Kelly has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dominic Canzone has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Pillar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.