Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest. This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph recently.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%. Luis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.3-mph in the last two weeks.

This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-26.3°) in the past two weeks. In the last week's worth of games, Nico Hoerner has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Alex Call pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Alex Call has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 11.5% in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.4° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Patrick Wisdom pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Patrick Wisdom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Patrick Wisdom has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 19.6% to 27.3%. Patrick Wisdom has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 98.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Trey Mancini will hold that advantage in today's game. Trey Mancini's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 47.6% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trey Mancini's true offensive talent to be a .323, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ian Happ has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Joey Meneses's launch angle in recent games (29.8° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 8.6° seasonal angle.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Compared to last season, Jeimer Candelario has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.3% to 43.7% this season. Ranking in the 77th percentile, Jeimer Candelario has notched a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams today. Mike Tauchman has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Over the last 7 days, Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph of late. In terms of plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.65 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Dominic Smith has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tucker Barnhart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tucker Barnhart will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tucker Barnhart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.8-mph average to last year's 84.6-mph EV.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Dickerson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 16.3%.

Miguel Amaya has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Yan Gomes has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.