Houston @ Colorado Picks & Props

Noah Davis will have the handedness advantage against Mauricio Dubon in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Last season, Mauricio Dubon had a launch angle of 10.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.3°. Over the past two weeks, Mauricio Dubon's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Noah Davis will have the handedness advantage against Jose Abreu today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Abreu in today's matchup. Jose Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.2% to 13.1%. Jose Abreu has recorded a .300 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%. Ezequiel Tovar has notched a .303 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .284 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 13th percentile.

Corey Julks is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Noah Davis will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Julks in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Corey Julks will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the last 14 days, Corey Julks has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Noah Davis will hold the platoon advantage over Chas McCormick in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Chas McCormick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Chas McCormick has been lucky this year, posting a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .054 difference.

Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Kris Bryant today. Kris Bryant has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week. Kris Bryant's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 85.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 78.7-mph over the last 7 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kris Bryant's 32% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%. In terms of his batting average, Kris Bryant has been very fortunate this year. His .256 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past two weeks' worth of games, Martin Maldonado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late. Over the past two weeks, Martin Maldonado has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 30.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.3°.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game. Noah Davis will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Yainer Diaz has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile with a 5.83 K/BB rate.

Noah Davis will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Alex Bregman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (5.8° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 13.8° seasonal mark. This year, the hardest ball Alex Bregman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.2 mph (an advanced metric to study power), checking in at the 6th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Tucker in today's game.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Noah Davis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Jeremy Pena's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 93.2 mph to 91.2 mph.

Harold Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

C.J. Cron has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Michael Toglia has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Grae Kessinger has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Austin Wynns has not yet played a game this season.