Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yan Gomes in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This year, Yan Gomes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Yan Gomes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.226) provides evidence that Yan Gomes has had some very good luck this year with his .258 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 44.4%. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Jeimer Candelario has put up a .354 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Seiya Suzuki has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. In the past week, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the past week.

The 5th-deepest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Wrigley Field. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .019 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294. With a 5.72 K/BB rate this year, CJ Abrams has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 3rd percentile.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. In today's game, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (89th percentile). Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.4°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-31.5°) over the past two weeks. Nico Hoerner has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the last 7 days.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Alex Call has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.2% seasonal rate to 13% over the past two weeks. Alex Call's launch angle of late (23.8° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° seasonal figure. Alex Call has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .039 disparity.

Miles Mastrobuoni's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.29 ft/sec to 28.8 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) suggests that Keibert Ruiz this year with his .239 actual batting average. With a 1.68 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Dominic Smith has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.1°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ian Happ has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.61 K/BB rate.

Christopher Morel's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Christopher Morel will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .360 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Joey Meneses's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26.3° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 6.5° seasonal angle. By putting up a .343 BABIP this year, Joey Meneses finds himself in the 88th percentile.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Miguel Amaya will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Miguel Amaya pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Amaya will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Dickerson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 16.3%.

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Garcia can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Luis Garcia has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Cody Bellinger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cody Bellinger has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.4°, Cody Bellinger has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29.1° angle in the past 14 days.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Trey Mancini will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Trey Mancini will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trey Mancini's true offensive talent to be a .321, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 difference between that mark and his actual .289 wOBA. Trey Mancini has recorded a .333 BABIP this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.