Arizona @ Atlanta Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.376) implies that Matt Olson has had positive variance on his side this year with his .396 actual wOBA.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (89th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Corbin Carroll's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%. Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, notching a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .034 deviation.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Zach Davies In the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 21% on the season to 0% over the last week. Ozzie Albies has compiled a .256 BABIP this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Zach Davies will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.8% rate (75th percentile). In the past 7 days, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 15% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sam Hilliard stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Davies in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Truist Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder today.

Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Truist Park projects as the #9 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.