Miami @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Dane Myers has been hot in recent games, notching a 94.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Fermin will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Lars Nootbaar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94.6 mph to 91.5 mph.

Jorge Soler projects as the 19th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Over the past 7 days, Jorge Soler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 40%.

This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Nick Fortes's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (18.5° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 9.2° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .069 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Jean Segura's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today. Jean Segura has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .389 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .046 gap.

Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Cooper today. In today's matchup, Garrett Cooper is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.2% rate (93rd percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Garrett Cooper today. Garrett Cooper has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 86.4-mph over the last 14 days. Sporting a 4.96 K/BB rate this year, Garrett Cooper has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.

Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 93.3-mph in the last week.

This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Paul DeJong's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Dylan Carlson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Joey Wendle's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Brendan Donovan has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.374) implies that Brendan Donovan has had bad variance on his side this year with his .351 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest among every team today.

Ivan Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.