San Diego @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.1°, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 61° figure over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°, Xander Bogaerts's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (5.3° in the past 14 days).

The #10 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 13.9% to 10.7%. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 10.7% on the season to 5.6% over the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #21 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Juan Soto has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Drew Ellis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.35 ft/sec this year, Brandon Dixon is remarkably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game.

Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alec Bohm has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 96.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Manny Machado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Manny Machado has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Gary Sanchez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Gary Sanchez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 33.3%. Over the past week, Gary Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.5 mph to 90.4 mph. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 12.2% on the season to 50% in the past week's worth of games.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .048 gap. Matt Carpenter and his 24° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 97th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Darick Hall will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo today. Darick Hall will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Darick Hall has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph average.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.