Miami @ Baltimore Picks & Props
MIA vs BAL Picks
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MIA vs BAL Consensus Picks
More Consensus
66% picking Baltimore
Total PicksMIA 43, BAL 84
MIA vs BAL Props
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as them as the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year. Nick Fortes, the Marlins's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The league's 9th-tallest fences can be found at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

The deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92-mph figure.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

The deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Austin Hays has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .313 mark is considerably higher than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 6th percentile with a 5.2 K/BB rate. Grading out in the 12th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has put up a .258 BABIP this year.
Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will be challenged by baseball's deepest LF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the past two weeks. Luis Arraez's launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 10.1° seasonal figure.
Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ramon Urias will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Nick Fortes has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.8° figure in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .312, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .066 difference between that figure and his actual .246 wOBA.
Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's game. Jordan Westburg will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage today.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.
Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Yuli Gurriel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). There has been a significant improvement in Yuli Gurriel's launch angle from last season's 14.3° to 17.9° this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Yuli Gurriel's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 93rd percentile.
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Joey Wendle has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 92.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.
Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Aaron Hicks will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jean Segura Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jean Segura in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jean Segura hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jean Segura has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.
Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Garrett Cooper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences today.
Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game. Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .267 figure is quite a bit lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs BAL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 92 games (-9.50 Units / -9% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.90 Units / 18% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 77 games (+20.40 Units / 21% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
MIA vs BAL Top User Picks
More PicksMiami Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
All Marlins Money Leaders |
Baltimore Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
All Orioles Money Leaders |