San Francisco @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. Ross Stripling will hold the platoon advantage over Henry Davis in today's game. Over the past week, Henry Davis's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%. Henry Davis has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the last week's worth of games. Henry Davis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 13.5% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Brandon Crawford has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Brandon Crawford's launch angle lately (17.1° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 13.1° seasonal angle. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Crawford has had some very poor luck given the .035 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

Dingers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.2-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. This year, Michael Conforto's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 77th percentile at 94.5 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Ross Stripling in today's matchup.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Rich Hill. In the last two weeks, Patrick Bailey's 35% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Joc Pederson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark. Joc Pederson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 39.6% to 47.6%.

PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tucupita Marcano will hold the platoon advantage against Ross Stripling in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tucupita Marcano will hold that advantage today.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's game. Wilmer Flores's launch angle this season (25.4°) is a significant increase over his 20.3° figure last year.

PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup. Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year, compiling a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .028 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. PNC Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Luis Matos will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's game. Luis Matos has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 8th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today.

PNC Park projects as the #6 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph average.

Mike Yastrzemski has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ji-Man Choi has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.