Arizona @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #27 field in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.349) provides evidence that Bo Bichette has had some very good luck this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Rogers Centre projects as the #27 field in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker today.

Rogers Centre projects as the #27 field in the game for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8.1°) is significantly lower than his 11.5° figure last year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Ketel Marte has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph average. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Ketel Marte has notched a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Alek Thomas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .234 rate is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 90.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (18.4°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° angle last season.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.7%. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 20.7% on the season to 31.6% over the past 14 days. Geraldo Perdomo has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 95th percentile with a 1.29 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Kevin Kiermaier's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 18.3% on the season to 21.7% in the past two weeks. Whit Merrifield has notched a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. In the last 14 days, Jake McCarthy's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.9% rate last season to 18.6% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The standard deviation of Gabriel Moreno's launch angle this year (25.5°) is in the 88th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Evan Longoria ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. In comparison to his 90.9-mph average last year, Evan Longoria's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.5 mph. Evan Longoria's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 12.6% to 21.7%. Evan Longoria's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today. Last season, Danny Jansen had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 21.1°.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.